You would think hes done too much too soon and likely will regress going a mile and a quarter so soon, especially facing 19 opponents, and like with Justify, who had only three career starts, I will let him beat me rather than bank on him defying the history books. His first work since winning the March 26 Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby was a maintenance tandem move against first-level allowance horse Guntown. Check out America's Best Racing's Triple Crown page to keep up to date with stories and statistics on the Road to the Kentucky Derby. Social Media Policy. 5 for now, but were talking five-horse photo and he is still the horse I will be betting, but now as an overlay instead of a favorite. We will also touch on the latest Future Wager and see who might be the overlays come September. He kept battling back and switched back to his left lead at the sixteenth pole, just falling a neck short. All company and product names, logos, services used and identified on www.mallscenters.com are for identification/informational purposes only. This colt has proven his versatility and was 94-1 when he came from seventh and put quite a scare in Essential Quality in the Breeders Cup Juvenile. Get the latest insider news, analysis, entries and results on your phone or sent to your email! Rebel Stakes Next Big Test for Derby Dozen 3-Year-Olds Reincarnate Among 3-Year-Olds Moving Away From Baffert Henny Hughes Colt New Leader in Japan Road to KY Derby Angel of Empire Wins Risen. In this case, making such a dramatic improvement you have to ask, was it due to the addition of blinkers? Derby Dozen: A-Plus Efforts Byron King's Top 12 on the Road to the Kentucky Derby, Presented by Spendthrift Farm. Although Im still not sure he is ready take on the leading contenders, as I dont believe he has beaten top quality fields in his last two starts I cant ignore the way hes been working and how he handles this track. He needs continued improvement to score a Derby upset, but he has developed with each start. As for his pedigree, in this day and age where speed rules, he is a rarity with points in both the stamina categories of his Dosage Profile. 1 Tiz the Law Barclay Tagg Constitution Tizfiz, by Tiznow Just when you thought Tiz the Law was shifting his gears to neutral following the Curlin Florida Derby (G1), breezing an easy :52 4/5 half-mile, he shifts back into drive with a sharp 1:00 3/5 work for five furlongs. Secretariat.com 2023. Dont ask me what to make of this horse or this race, but one thing is certain and that is he has an amazing pedigree with a ton of class and stamina, and his sire and broodmare sire are remembered for scoring two of the most impressive Preakness victories weve seen in a long time. With the Kentucky Derby moved to Sept. 5, we'll have to be creative with the Derby Dozen, although as of now the major preps will still be run, including all three grade 1 preps -- the Curlin. And it looks as if those fractions are going to stay. That sapped the Fasig-Tipton Fountain of Youth Stakes victor of some of his late strength. ~ Steve Haskin. The first Derby Dozen for 2020 finds Dennis' Moment on top. Mo Donegal is a classy horse he nipped Zandon by a nose in the Remsen Stakes after bumping him late, though stewards took no action to disqualify him. It was no surprise to see a brilliant but lightly raced and untested PREVALENCE struggle on that deep track in the Wood. Bourbonic (Todd Pletcher, Bernardini Dancing Afleet, by Afleet Alex) That is because I dont know how he wants to run, how fast he really is, and most important how high his ceiling is. Stiffer breezes are to come in the weeks ahead. Because there are so many new faces emerging who could be major Derby contenders by Sept. 5, there will be two rankings this week. Copyright 2016 Blood-Horse LLC. Read More, With the Kentucky Derby moved to Sept. 5, well have to be creative with the Derby Dozen, although as of now the major preps will still be run, including all three grade 1 preps -- the Curlin Florida Derby, Santa Anita Derby, and Arkansas Derby. If were in a forgiving mood and wish to overlook CLASSIC CAUSEWAYS implosion in the Florida Derby then you can say he belongs in the race. But also like Smile Happy he chased a very fast horse in Forbidden Kingdom, was coming off a two-month layoff since his 15-length walk in the park in the Robert Lewis Stakes, and desperately needed the race. 1972 Horse of the Year A Prelude to Greatness, The Forgotten Horse Who Nearly Saved The Meadow, Memories, Big Red, and Two Kids from Brooklyn. Its pretty amazing how many horses who really arent need-the-lead types have set the pace in Derby preps, including him, Rock Your World, Concert Tour, Highly Motivated, Medina Spirit, Soup and Sandwich, and Midnight Bourbon. As for Dynamic One, I fell in love with him off a fourth in a maiden race, in which he had a horrendous trip but showed me all the signs of a top-class horse. Stay up-to-date with the best from America's Best Racing! Though he was overlooked a bit at 6-1 odds in the Holy Bull, he won't slip past anyone in the Florida Derby. My coworkers bought them for us, they taste so good. Hot Rod Charlie (Doug ONeill, Oxbow Ind1an Miss, by Indian Charlie) This colt's only loss in four starts, a sixth in the Feb. 20 Hyacinth Stakes at Tokyo, came after he was impeded at the break and raced extremely wide. Well, he has shown absolutely no signs of disliking the dirt and in fact seems to relish it. BloodHorse news editor Byron King presents his latest Derby Dozen for 2022, with a look at his leading contenders for the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve on May 7. Highly Motivated (Chad Brown, Into Mischief Strong Incentive, by Warriors Reward) In contrast to the Lecomte Stakes, when he was pushed into fast splits and finished a close second, he faced limited pace pressure in the Risen Star and took advantage in a frontrunning score. 4 Messier (Tim Yakteen, Empire Maker Checkered Past, by Smart Strike). Hustled away from the gate, he sat closer to the pace than he had in his first three starts, sitting in third after a half-mile. Derby Dozen Questions and Answers Haskin's Top 12, Presented by Shadwell Farm. CADDO RIVER While on the subject of throwing a race out, Brad Cox will also be doing it for Caddo River after his disappointing effort in the Rebel Stakes when he wasnt asked to challenge Concert Tour for the early lead and fought his rider, eventually fading out of contention. Hes just a good horse to keep in the back of your mind on Derby Day. With Curlin on top the mile and a quarter should be a piece of cake. It was the second time in three routes he has been outfinished. HIDDEN STASH with 32 points continues to run well, but not quite well enough, and the same can be said of ROMBAUER with 34 points, although it was a surprise to see him so close to the lead in the Blue Grass. As for Crown Pride, I love what Im seeing every morning, especially the way they have him accelerating on the turn after crossing the wire. It's been a fun ride with lots of twists and turns and interesting back stories. 12 Crown Pride (Reach the Crown Emmys Pride, by King Kamehameha). In the Florida Derby he reverted back to his old speedy ways due to strategy gone wrong and paid the price, getting caught in the middle of a three-horse speed duel, then a two-horse duel through a rapid Brisnet middle pace figure of 113 before tiring a bit in the stretch to finish third. The 2021 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes victor can build upon his return. His closing fractions of :23 4/5, :23 4/5, and :12 2/5, with a final three-eighths in :36 1/5 were very strong. There was no way he could keep moving forward every race after the Holy Bull. His victories will come; it just doesnt have to be in the Kentucky Derby. Also expected are SUPER STOCK and the Dallas Stewart-trained LAST SAMURAI, who is taking a wild shot to try to get a small piece of it. Its as if he uses lead changes to find another gear. By using this website you agree. 99 Ranch Market Rowland Heights - Mandarin Plaza 1015, S Nogales St, Rowland Heights, CA 91748. He showed that with his powerful runner-up effort in the Florida Derby coming off two races in which he made enough mistakes to last an entire career. There was nothing to knock in his six-furlong work in 1:12 1/5, out in 1:26 1/5 in company. With jockey Corey Lanerie riding him patiently from seventh to avoid a wide move on the second turn in the Risen Star, this colt found a seam between horses in the stretch and finished well. Might as well give him another shot with six weeks to regroup. 1 Tiz the Law Barclay Tagg Constitution Tizfiz, by Tiznow Despite the Derby Day assault by the Baffert Brigade, he holds on to the No. It is not an ideal way to prep for the Derby and can very well dull a horse. Byron King's Top 12 on the Road to the Kentucky Derby, presented by Spendthrift Farm. The last time a horse did that and won the Derby was 42 years ago and his name was Spectacular Bid. I said a few weeks ago following Tiz the Bombs impressive victory in the Jeff Ruby Steaks on a synthetic surface that I want to see how he trains at Churchill Downs. Read More, 1 Tiz the Law Barclay Tagg Constitution Tizfiz, by Tiznow Just when you thought Tiz the Law was shifting his gears to neutral following the Curlin Florida Derby (G1), breezing an easy :52 4/5 half-mile, he shifts back into drive with a sharp 1:00 3/5 work for five furlongs. He certainly belongs in the Derby off that performance, which came up a head short of putting him in the starting gate. If this colt only had one more start I would rank him higher based on all the positives I saw in his first two starts and the way hes been training at Churchill Downs. (Coady Photography) BloodHorse news editor Byron King presents his latest Derby Dozen for 2022, with a look at his leading contenders for the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve on May 7. He then galloped out another eighth in :12 2/5 covering the six furlongs in 1:12 4/5 and pulling up seven furlongs in a strong 1:26 2/5. 5. So, now with only four weeks to the Derby here is the roster that has been assembledwith even more question marks. State: 2, but its almost a dead-heat. But he gives 100 percent every time and you know youre in a race when you go up against him. Will he simply bounce off a figure that hes never come close to running before? Whenever stakes are carded, such as this years version of the Belmont Stakes (G1), he will be ready, having remained in steady training, breezing five furlongs in He is certainly consistent and he has been running in top company all year, but he has yet to show he has enough weapons to win the Kentucky Derby. Whenever stakes are carded, such as this years version of the Belmont Stakes (G1), he will be ready, having remained in steady training, breezing five furlongs in Tiz the Law remains on top of the Derby Dozen, as much of his competition prepares for the divisions of the Arkansas Derby. I just dont know if hes quite there yet. With no races on the horizon, it will be interesting to see what Tagg does with BloodHorse news editor Byron King presents his latest Derby Dozen for 2022, with a look at his leading contenders for the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve on May 7. Yes he will have to work out a trip and get through the big field, which will require some luck, and closers have not won many Derbys in the last 10 years, but sometimes you cant ignore what is right in front of you, and if you leave him out and he wins you will look back to his sensational :35 2/5 final three-eighths and :11 4/5 final eighth in the Wood Memorial, and his whopping 121 late pace figure on Brisnet and realize too late that he was touting you big-time and you ignored it. He's developed since, winning from pace-pressing positions or by stalking outside, as he did effectively in taking the April 2 Curlin Florida Derby Presented by Hill 'n' Dale Farms at Xalapa at Gulfstream Park. But he has earned his way into the big race and deserves a shot at it, especially considering he has never finished out of the money and has proven he is a fighter on the lead. Maybe UAE Derby runner-up Panadol. So again like Smile Happy I am willing to overlook the fact that he was passed in the final eighth and will benefit a great deal from that race coming off a layoff. The buzz surrounding him keeps growing with every gallop and workout, and with all the rave reviews there is now a good chance he will go off as favorite, but it still should be close with Epicenter, who has been training at Churchill Downs now for several weeks. But it has to be mentioned that no Blue Grass winner has won the Derby in 30 years. He picks out all the matings. They knew this colt could be special before they sold him because he was such an imposing individual whose measurements revealed an outstanding physical specimen, as we saw on Saturday. Read More, Find out which horse from the Louisiana Derby is ranked highest on this week's Derby Dozen. Read More, 1 Tiz the Law Barclay Tagg Constitution Tizfiz, by Tiznow Just when you thought Tiz the Law was shifting his gears to neutral following the Curlin Florida Derby (G1), breezing an easy :52 4/5 half-mile, he shifts back into drive with a sharp 1:00 3/5 work for five furlongs. Now it's up to him to go out there and match his stablemate's performance when he returns to Tampa for the Lambholm South Tampa Bay Derby (G2). He turned in another strong work, going six furlongs in 1:12 4/5 in the fog and working alone. You have to go for the lead either at the start and lull them to sleep or get the lead fairly early in the race. As you will see, I am not taking the conventional path when it comes to who reigns atop the Rankings. Essential. All very delicious. Normally, a good second or third would be encouraging enough, but he has a big class edge, with only a few stakes horses entered, and he . I hope everyone has enjoyed it and now it is time for the nitty gritty. 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